Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.422585 3.799537 4.208394 4.686049 5.230323 5.832997 6.553322
2025-06-01 2.834587 3.328910 3.902750 4.622713 5.508250 6.570101 7.952167
2025-06-08 2.474418 3.026758 3.700609 4.592325 5.755009 7.238672 9.306284
2025-06-15 2.295046 2.904102 3.678755 4.751519 6.222885 8.206567 11.146958
2025-06-22 2.090011 2.717464 3.542804 4.729061 6.425921 8.822243 12.567878
2025-06-29 1.914512 2.547812 3.405303 4.678330 6.568047 9.349734 13.912632
2025-07-06 1.708800 2.316271 3.157940 4.440397 6.402225 9.390117 14.492307
2025-07-13 1.609779 2.224466 3.096993 4.463647 6.622704 10.034551 16.123656
2025-07-20 1.540551 2.168468 3.080793 4.548611 6.941972 10.865192 18.185386
2025-07-27 1.482392 2.123156 3.074875 4.645696 7.286129 11.771431 20.516065
2025-08-03 1.421602 2.068602 3.049163 4.706225 7.571719 12.605567 22.840053
2025-08-10 1.359318 2.006819 3.006470 4.733035 7.798682 13.357172 25.119865
2025-08-17 1.264689 1.889977 2.870522 4.595737 7.729034 13.567436 26.362298
2025-08-24 1.195236 1.808773 2.786572 4.540473 7.802377 14.058701 28.292991
2025-08-31 1.137174 1.742090 2.721494 4.511908 7.920885 14.650867 30.554134
2025-09-07 1.117491 1.736731 2.758175 4.667969 8.407967 16.053753 34.979719
2025-09-14 1.068400 1.679073 2.701102 4.646023 8.540387 16.726563 37.765301
2025-09-21 1.018634 1.617274 2.632570 4.596366 8.610409 17.270823 40.333281
2025-09-28 0.943701 1.508382 2.474503 4.363406 8.277656 16.871342 40.312313
2025-10-05 0.913246 1.474958 2.449170 4.386173 8.487422 17.743378 43.977730
2025-10-12 0.893551 1.459168 2.454476 4.469365 8.835693 18.989970 49.012706
2025-10-19 0.876509 1.447020 2.465447 4.564418 9.220063 20.380956 54.842229
2025-10-26 0.855528 1.426550 2.459413 4.623675 9.529207 21.629133 60.563306